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Vietnam dodges US Tariff with a last-minute deal

Updated: Jul 15

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With just days left before President Trump’s “reciprocal tariffs” pause expires, Vietnam has struck a surprise trade deal with the US, narrowly avoiding a punishing 46% tariff on its exports. Instead, Vietnamese goods will face a 20% levy - still significant, but a marked reduction. In return, Vietnam has agreed to scrap all tariffs on US exports. 


Trump hailed it as a “Great Deal of Cooperation,” touting full, zero-tariff access to Vietnamese markets - a first, he claims. But the agreement goes further: it introduces strict enforcement on “trans-shipping,” the controversial practice of routing Chinese goods through Vietnam to bypass tariffs. Any goods flagged as such will face a 40% US tariff. 


White House advisor Peter Navarro alleged that up to a third of Vietnam’s US-bound exports are Chinese in origin - though verifying that will be politically and logistically complex. 


Markets initially cheered the news, with shares of Vietnam-linked manufacturers like Apple and Nike rising briefly before slipping as the reality of a 20% tariff set in. 


Adam Sitkoff of the American Chamber of Commerce in Hanoi called the deal “a good position for Vietnam,” but warned that trans-shipping enforcement remains murky. 


This is the third deal of its kind since Trump’s April tariff push, following temporary pacts with the UK and China. Other nations - including Japan and the EU - are now racing to cut similar deals before the tariff pause ends on July 9th.  


Trump’s message is clear: make a deal, or face the consequences. 


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